How.Dare.You — Polymarket Trader Profile

How.Dare.You is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with -$817.3K in all-time profit and loss across 17 trades, $37.05M in total trading volume, and -2.2% ROI. Track How.Dare.You's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

How.Dare.You Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	-$817.3K
Return on investment (ROI)	-2.2%
Total volume	$37.05M
Total trades	17

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x4bbe10ba5b7f6df147c0dae17b46c44a6e562cf3

How.Dare.You

0x4bbe…2cf3Polymarket ↗Joined Dec 20240 followers

ScoreForm↘ CoolingStyle🐋 WhaleHolds to resolution 6moErratic sizingGeneralistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

−$839K

V4 chain total

Win rate

70%

1,446 resolved

Volume

$17.3M

PM-style share volume

Trades

96,809

$12K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#4230

of 4,315 · 30d #568

In open positions

$19K

20 open markets

Last trade

2d ago

Most recent fill on the loaded tape

Copy ScoreWhat is Copy Score?

—

Not scored

The classifier has not graded this wallet. That is not a middling score; it is the absence of one.

About this trader, not this trade.

No category record that clears 10 finished trades

AI trader brief

A busy trader whose results haven't caught up with the activity. So far it's a losing book, -$837K across 1,446 settled markets at 70%. There's a real edge in russia_ukraine, but losses elsewhere pull the total under water. Positions run for days, so there's usually time to follow a trade after it's placed. Worth a caveat: much of this volume is maker flow, so a copier's entries won't match theirs. Zoom out to the month and they're still climbing, up $22K.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Performance

P&L over time

Cumulative P&L

−$1.2M

Volume

$12

Point

Aug 17

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

−$183K

ROI

-58.5%

Win rate

68%

Volume

$313K

Trades

928

Profit factor

0.2

Day outcomes

Positive: 197 (51%)
Negative: 86
Flat: 102
Avg daily: −$2K
Max drawdown: −$1.3M

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

21%

$1K – $10K

52%

$10K+

26%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~62,137 (64%)
Sell orders (est.): ~34,672
Buy notional: $17.3M
Sell notional: $9.7M

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Russia Ukraine+$295K 51%3,185#6

Middle East+$180K 31%1,976#35

China Taiwan+$24K 4%654#10

Macro+$16K 3%271#22

Crypto+$7K 1%406#138

Business+$6K 1%1,456#118

Culture+$4K 1%387#116

Tech−$1K 0%385#1046

Elon Musk−$2K 0%662#606

Ethereum−$5K 1%763#1466

Bitcoin−$11K 2%2,442#2490

Politics−$23K 4%8,989#1994

8 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Yes No	98%	73%	+5.2%	+$651K
Moneyline	0%	63%	-30.6%	+$293
Over Under	0%	100%	+10.1%	+$43
Standard	0%	95%	+51.8%	−$197
Up Down	2%	38%	-42.4%	−$12K

Hold time & exitsiHold time & exitsHow long they keep a position (matched buy and sell fills, FIFO) and how they get out: selling early versus holding to resolution. Long holds are easier to copy.

No sell fills

hold percentiles unavailable

Exit behavior

Sold before resolution 85%Held to resolution 15%

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

−$2K

20–50¢

+$205K

50–80¢

+$409K

80¢+ · favorites

+$26K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

Balance & fundingiBalanceCash sitting in the wallet, the value of open positions priced right now, and how much has been put in net of withdrawals. Cash is an on-chain poll refreshed every 10 minutes; position value is priced live from Polymarket.

In open positions

$19K

20 positions

Net deposited: —
True ROI (P&L ÷ deposited): —

The edge

Style & behavior

Behavioral signals

Median hold: —
Win/loss asymmetry: 0.2×
Sell before close: 85%
Hedged markets: —
In-game buys (sports): —
Maker / taker: —
Avg entry price: —
Profitable weeks: —

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	90¢	—	$5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	90¢	—	$5
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$13
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$42
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$4
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$113
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$3
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$73
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$6
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$128
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$64
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	64¢	—	$232

Open positions · $19K · 20 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢ → 93¢	$26K	+$2K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	88¢ → 94¢	$23K	+$1K
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	72¢ → 94¢	$22K	+$5K
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	95¢ → 98¢	$18K	+$484
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	76¢ → 92¢	$16K	+$3K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	No	93¢ → 100¢	$13K	+$840
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	87¢ → 98¢	$11K	+$1K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	70¢ → 86¢	$8K	+$2K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	70¢ → 90¢	$7K	+$2K
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	92¢ → 95¢	$6K	+$183

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	+$14K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	+$10K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	+$8K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	+$6K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	+$6K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	+$3K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	+$3K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	+$3K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	+$3K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	+$2K

About How.Dare.You on Polymarket

How.Dare.You is a Polymarket prediction market trader with -$817.3K total P&L, -2.2% ROI, and N/A win rate across 17 trades ($37.05M volume). Specialty: Russia Ukraine (#6), China Taiwan (#10), Macro (#22). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.