Theo4 — Polymarket Trader Profile

Theo4 is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$22.05M in all-time profit and loss, $43.07M in total trading volume, and 51.2% ROI. Track Theo4's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

Theo4 Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$22.05M
Return on investment (ROI)	51.2%
Total volume	$43.07M
Followers on Polycopy	11

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x56687bf447db6ffa42ffe2204a05edaa20f55839

Theo4

0x5668…5839Polymarket ↗Joined Oct 202441 followers

Copy ScoreStyle🐋 WhaleVariable sizingSpecialistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$22.0M

V4 chain total

Win rate

50%

42 resolved

Volume

$20.1M

PM-style share volume

Trades

16,002

$478K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

of 4,555 · 30d #1528

In open positions

0 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

One of the sharper politics traders we follow, ranked 1st of 2,194. The book's up $22M at a 50% win rate across 42 settled markets. Most of it comes from one place: 100% of the profit is politics, where they win 99%. They trade mainly during US market hours. Worth a caveat: much of this volume is maker flow, so a copier's entries won't match theirs.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

+$22.0M

Volume

Point

Jan 1

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$0

ROI

—

Win rate

—

Volume

—

Trades

Profit factor

—

Day outcomes

Positive: 8 (35%)
Negative: 8
Flat: 7
Avg daily: +$958K
Max drawdown: −$17K

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

$1K – $10K

21%

$10K+

77%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~16,002 (100%)
Sell orders (est.): ~0
Buy notional: $20.1M
Sell notional: $0

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Politics+$22.0M 100%1,112#1

Culture−$19 0%1#943

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Yes No	100%	99%	+153.5%	+$10.5M

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

−$3

20–50¢

+$7.6M

50–80¢

+$2.9M

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

No sells

No sells — nothing to place on the scale.

They never sell. Positions close early by merging a YES + NO pair back to cash — an arbitrage exit a copier holding one side cannot make — or ride to resolution. Hold time is measured on sells, so there is none to show.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $0 · 0 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About Theo4 on Polymarket

Theo4 is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$22.05M total P&L, 51.2% ROI, and N/A win rate across 0 trades ($43.07M volume). 11 people follow this trader on Polycopy. Specialty: Politics (#1). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.