Poligarch, Polymarket trader profile

Poligarch is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$194.7K in all-time profit and loss across 9,149 trades, $29.06M in total trading volume, and 0.7% ROI. Track Poligarch's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

Poligarch Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$194.7K
Return on investment (ROI)	0.7%
Total volume	$29.06M
Total trades	9,149
Followers on Polycopy	2

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9

Poligarch

0xb40e…7cc9Polymarket ↗Joined Jun 20254 followers

Copy ScoreForm→ SteadyStyleHolds to resolution 6moErratic sizingGeneralistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$200K

V4 chain total

Win rate

52%

105,921 resolved

Volume

$13.4M

PM-style share volume

Trades

1,799,215

$127 avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#746

of 4,904 · 30d #4467

In open positions

$14K

296 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

This looks less like a bettor and more like a market maker, quoting both sides for the spread. It's a green record, $203K in profit at 52% over 105,921 markets. The edge is spread out, with the top two niches making up 63% of the profit. They trade mainly during US market hours. Worth a caveat: much of this volume is maker flow, so a copier's entries won't match theirs. Over the past month the trend's turned negative, down $27K on 22% lighter volume.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

+$34K

Volume

$5K

Point

Sep 27

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$35K

ROI

+1.1%

Win rate

54%

Volume

$3.1M

Trades

479,965

Profit factor

1.4

Day outcomes

Positive: 267 (70%)
Negative: 94
Flat: 18
Avg daily: +$527
Max drawdown: −$43K

Order sizing

Under $100

92%

$100 – $1K

$1K – $10K

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~1,774,829 (99%)
Sell orders (est.): ~24,386
Buy notional: $13.4M
Sell notional: $185K

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Middle East+$18K 34%74,015#245

Weather+$12K 22%1,148,962#108

Politics+$6K 12%106,693#573

Science+$4K 8%3,099#35

Business+$2K 4%10,153#266

Russia Ukraine+$1K 2%2,274#282

Culture+$977 2%27,395#294

Crypto+$811 2%1,286#450

Bitcoin+$599 1%1,806#1030

Macro−$1K 2%11,546#1098

Nfl−$1K 2%10,495#1724

Soccer−$4K 7%3,617#3369

16 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Yes No	98%	50%	+4.6%	+$193K
Up Down	1%	48%	+20.2%	+$2K
Moneyline	0%	48%	+7.5%	+$92
Standard	0%	50%	+29.4%	+$69
Spread	0%	49%	+0.8%	+$45
Unknown	0%	40%	-47.3%	+$3
Both Teams Score	0%	56%	-14.4%	−$48
Over Under	1%	45%	-6.4%	−$2K

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

+$98K

20–50¢

+$109K

50–80¢

−$18K

80¢+ · favorites

+$3K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

Not measured

Hold time has not been measured for this wallet.

Hold time is measured on sell fills and has not been computed for this wallet yet.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $14K · 296 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About Poligarch on Polymarket

Poligarch is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$194.7K total P&L, 0.7% ROI, and N/A win rate across 9,149 trades ($29.06M volume). 2 people follow this trader on Polycopy. Specialty: Science (#35), Entertainment (#77), Weather (#108). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.