Melody626, Polymarket trader profile

Melody626 is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with -$93.4K in all-time profit and loss across 206 trades, $35.07M in total trading volume, and -0.3% ROI. Track Melody626's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

Melody626 Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	-$93.4K
Return on investment (ROI)	-0.3%
Total volume	$35.07M
Total trades	206

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9

Melody626

0xecaa…77a9Polymarket ↗Joined Jan 20241 followers

Copy ScoreForm→ SteadyStyle🐋 WhaleExits by selling 6moVariable sizingGeneralistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

−$95K

V4 chain total

Win rate

58%

1,631 resolved

Volume

$15.5M

PM-style share volume

Trades

47,910

$9K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#4588

of 5,045 · 30d #4928

In open positions

$17

1 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

This looks less like a bettor and more like a market maker, quoting both sides for the spread. So far it's a losing book, -$95K across 1,631 settled markets at 58%. There's a real edge in soccer, but losses elsewhere pull the total under water. Positions run for days, so there's usually time to follow a trade after it's placed. A chunk of the return comes from maker rebates, which copiers don't earn, so the copied result would look different.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

−$202K

Volume

Point

Sep 30

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

−$202K

ROI

-10.2%

Win rate

55%

Volume

$2.0M

Trades

5,460

Profit factor

0.6

Day outcomes

Positive: 197 (30%)
Negative: 240
Flat: 225
Avg daily: −$143
Max drawdown: −$574K

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

41%

$1K – $10K

33%

$10K+

22%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~38,917 (81%)
Sell orders (est.): ~8,993
Buy notional: $15.5M
Sell notional: $3.6M

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Soccer+$103K 16%206#753

China Taiwan+$42K 7%143#8

Bitcoin+$33K 5%181#337

Nba+$20K 3%34#428

Ethereum+$5K 1%22#206

Russia Ukraine−$11K 2%14#1238

Business−$12K 2%11#1352

Macro−$21K 3%44#1223

Tech−$21K 3%22#1311

Middle East−$83K 13%499#1882

Culture−$91K 14%828#1317

Politics−$174K 28%2,650#2485

8 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Yes No	71%	64%	+9.1%	+$115K
Over Under	8%	51%	-12.4%	+$13K
Unknown	6%	50%	+49.9%	+$10K
Moneyline	5%	66%	+4.0%	+$8K
Standard	3%	67%	+12.4%	+$5K
Spread	7%	43%	-18.1%	−$11K

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

−$54K

20–50¢

+$10K

50–80¢

+$84K

80¢+ · favorites

+$101K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

Not measured

Hold time has not been measured for this wallet.

Hold time is measured on sell fills and has not been computed for this wallet yet.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $17 · 1 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About Melody626 on Polymarket

Melody626 is a Polymarket prediction market trader with -$93.4K total P&L, -0.3% ROI, and N/A win rate across 206 trades ($35.07M volume). Specialty: China Taiwan (#8), ETH (#206), BTC (#337). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.