Traders
All qualifying traders. Copy Score rated Clears at the latest refresh.
List refreshed nightly.
Bots · General strategy−$1,080.55
Flagship
Every trader whose trading history leaves room for a profit after fees, spread, and slippage.
Real trading performance
Realized P&L · After fees · All time
All time−4.4%3,239 trades
Last 7 days+0.6%333 trades
Last 24 hours+12.2%38 trades
Returns shown as a percentage of traded volumeExplore performance →
01 · The idea
What this strategy copies
Flagship is every trader Copy Score rates Clears, and nothing else. Every trader on Polymarket whose last ninety days of resolved trades come out ahead after the cost of copying them is in; everyone else is out.
No category, no style, no price band. It is the broadest list we run and the one every other strategy is measured against: a strategy that cannot beat it on its worst month is a re-slice, not a product. It re-resolves every night, so a trader who decays leaves and a trader who qualifies joins without you doing anything. It also needs the most capital, because it finds the most trades.
The setup
Polycopy maintains the trader list and trading settings. You choose your budget, winnings option and available limits.
Budget
Start from $100. Choose Keep or Compound for your winnings.
Funds stay in your Polymarket wallet.
Controls
Price, exposure and loss checks can prevent new copies. Pause new trading when needed.
Limits do not guarantee a maximum loss.
View all settings
Current launch defaults; your chosen settings apply to your bot. Filters updated Oct 30, 2026. Settings may change; better results are not guaranteed.
Traders copied
The traders it copies
- Copy Score
- Clears
- Trading pace / specialty
- All qualifying traders
- Activity
- Active traders only
- Record verification
- Reconciled against Polymarket
- Excluded traders
- Market makers, arbitrage, high / very high frequency, transfer-funded and blocked accounts
- List refresh
- Nightly
- List limit
- 500 traders
- Rule version
- rule_v1_f5e0e53a5e64
Trade filters
Stored strategy filters
- Entry price
- 2¢ – 98¢
- Allowed categories
- All categories
- Blocked categories
- ESPORTS
- Model threshold
- Not set
- Minimum edge
- 0
- Minimum conviction
- 0
- Extra resolved-trade floor
- 0
- Maximum time to resolution
- No time limit
Budget & allocation
Launch defaults · example at $100
- Starting budget
- $100 – $5,000
- Allocation
- FIXED · $5 base order
- Source order sizing
- 5 – 5 USD
- Allocation weight
- 1
- Kelly fraction
- Not set
- Exposure cap
- $100
- Per-position cap
- $15
- Winnings
- Compound by default
Execution
Current launch defaults
- Order type
- GTD · 4-minute expiry
- Buy price tolerance
- 7%
- Sell price tolerance
- 5%
- Maximum spread
- 200 basis points
- Minimum position
- 8 shares · raise order size
- Group split trader fills
- Always on
- Follow trader sells
- On
- Source sell mirroring
- On
- Take profit
- Off
- After a position closes
- Real: 0h · Paper: 3h cooldown
- Paper duration
- 1–14 days · 14 by default
Protection & control
Defaults at $100 · no guarantee against loss
- Max Daily Loss
- $20
- Circuit breaker
- 30%
- Dead-market guard
- On
- Dead-market price floor
- 4¢
- Dead-market drift limit
- 80%
- Pause
- Pause stops new copies and keeps open positions. Pause and sell all also attempts to sell them
- Real trading requirements
- Premium · connected wallet · funds · trading authorization
- Unfilled opportunities
- May be skipped
02 · The record
How it has performed
Real trades across users running this strategy. Explore a period to see the results behind the headline.
The numbers that matter
Realized P&L
−$1,080.55
Unrealized P&L
−$115.92
Win rate
64%
1875 won · 1062 lost
Of volume traded
−4.4%
−22.1% of budget
$4,891 funding basis
$4,891 funding basis
Total trades
3,239
Last trade Oct 30, 1:16 PM UTC
Max drawdown
$1,449
Largest peak-to-trough fall in realized P&L
Profit factor
0.79×
Realized gains ÷ absolute realized losses, including sold fills
Volume
$24,503
$8 average filled trade
Historical backtest Simulated results and methodology
Backtest. Simulated on historical data, not a forecast.
Months positive
7 of 7
Typical month
+5.6%
Worst month
+3.0%
2026-02+6.2%
2026-03+13.1%
2026-04+5.5%
2026-05+5.0%
2026-06+5.6%
2026-07+3.0%
2026-08+7.6%
About 0% of this strategy's traders also appear in Flagship. It is a different way to narrow the same set of traders who clear Copy Score, not a separate bet.
Full methodology and disclosures
- Method: Walk-forward, 7 monthly point-in-time folds (Feb 2026–Aug 2026), ≥20¢ price bands, fees on, fills and slippage sampled, three simulated users, seed 42 — ml/backtester/scripts/run_strategy_walkforward.py --tag wf7 · pre-registered in docs/plans/STRATEGY_BACKTEST_DEFENSIBILITY_2026-08-23.md.
- Period 2026-02-01 to 2026-08-31 · version 2 · published Sep 9, 2026.
- 7 monthly point-in-time folds, Feb 2026–Aug 2026. The list was rebuilt as it would have stood on the 1st of each month and run through that month.
- Three simulated users per fold ($500 / $1,000 / $2,500); the figure is the median user. The engine's own interval straddles zero in 6 of 7 folds.
- Percentages are net P&L as a share of volume traded (trades × $5 ticket), not a return on capital: the $5-ticket engine leaves most of any budget idle.
- Price bands ≥20¢ only. The shipped house config trades down to 2¢ (priceMin 0.02) — this number does not yet describe the customer's exact configuration. Open decision: STRATEGY_BACKTEST_PRICE_FLOOR_2026-08-23.md.
- Fees: venue 3.845% entry / 3.538% exit as a cohort-blended constant (crypto books pay ~7%, politics ~0), builder 1% → 0.5% from 2026-08-06. Fills and slippage sampled per order from real book conditions.
- Single seed (42). Re-running under a different seed moved folds by ~20% in earlier work; treat the fold figures as ±20%.
- Baskets selected with the trader classifier as it stood on the run date, which post-dates the folds (operating-trait exclusions and the per-strategy axis are today's values; the copyability band is recomputed point-in-time). The candidate pool is every classified wallet active in the last 180 days plus every wallet in the earlier export, so older folds see the same universe as new ones.
- Probability of backtest overfitting (PBO) not computed; no held-out month. Acceptance criteria 2–3 of PRD §6.3 are unmet, not passed.
- Against 25 random lists of the same size per month (docs/research/STRATEGY_PERMUTATION_RESULTS_2026-08-25.md, computed on the Feb–Jul 2026 baskets): above the random median in 5 of 5 months, top decile in 3, sign-test p = 0.031, median percentile 92.
- This is the control list every other strategy is measured against.
- Backtested results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
03 · The people
80 traders, re-checked nightly
All time
RankTraderCopy Score ↓ROIP&LOpen valueTrendVolumeCopied tradesJoined
10 of 80 traders
04 · The activity
Recent trades
Real trading · All users of this strategy · Filled buy orders
| Market | Status | Side | Outcome | Entry | Size | Realized P&L | Unrealized P&L | Copied from | Entered · UTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WiWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | open | BUY | YES | 54¢ | $5.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | BiDiFakePolls | |
WiWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | open | BUY | NO | 81¢ | $6.48 | $0.00 | −$0.20 | tunatyler | |
WiWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | open | BUY | YES | 63¢ | $5.04 | $0.00 | +$0.20 | tunatyler | |
WiWill the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? | open | BUY | NO | 73¢ | $5.84 | $0.00 | $0.00 | tunatyler | |
WiWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | open | BUY | NO | 37.2¢ | $5.03 | $0.00 | +$0.16 | tunatyler | |
WiWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | open | BUY | NO | 37.2¢ | $5.03 | $0.00 | +$0.16 | tunatyler | |
WiWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | open | BUY | YES | 82¢ | $6.57 | $0.00 | −$0.80 | tunatyler | |
WiWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | open | BUY | YES | 62¢ | $5.00 | $0.00 | +$0.28 | tunatyler | |
WiWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | open | BUY | NO | 80¢ | $6.40 | $0.00 | −$0.12 | tunatyler | |
WiWill the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | open | BUY | YES | 72¢ | $5.76 | $0.00 | −$0.04 | tunatyler |
05 · Your bot
Choose your strategy. Let your bot do the trading.
You do not need to watch every trader or place each order yourself. Once you launch, Polycopy monitors the strategy’s signals and executes eligible trades within your settings.
1
Choose how to start
Try Paper Trading with simulated orders, or use Real Trading with Premium and a connected, funded Polymarket wallet.
2
Set your limits
Review the current settings in setup. Choose your budget, how to handle winnings and the risk limits available for your bot.
3
We handle execution
Polycopy maintains the trader list, checks each signal and submits eligible orders. Your bot follows the strategy’s current entry and exit settings.
4
Follow your results
See the strategy’s performance and trades here. Manage your own bot and positions from your portfolio, and pause new copies when you need to.
Ready to trade with real money?
Connect your Polymarket wallet first, then make sure it is funded and authorized for trading. You can try Paper Trading while you get set up.
Connect your wallet →Budget, winnings and open positions
Your budget limits how much the bot can have in play. The latest minimum and trade settings appear in setup. Available cash, existing positions and market conditions affect which orders can be placed; the bot may skip trades rather than exceed its limits.
Your funds stay in your own Polymarket wallet. You authorize Polycopy to place trades; your bot’s budget is not a deposit to Polycopy.
Choose how winnings affect your bot’s budget: Compound allows profits to increase its exposure cap. Keep leaves that cap at your chosen budget. Max Daily Loss and the circuit breaker still apply. Review these settings before you launch and as your needs change.
Positions may stay open until market settlement or close under the bot’s exit settings. There is no fixed holding period. Pausing or stopping new copies does not automatically sell existing positions; review those separately.
Strategy updates and changes
Kept current
We maintain the strategy. You can follow its changes.
The trader list and the strategy's settings can change as the strategy evolves. Check the trader list above for membership updates and the published configuration changes below.
You can inspect the current list, recorded trades and published results. Paper, backtested and real-trading results are labelled separately, with any coverage gaps identified.
Sep 14, 2026
published
no → yes
Aug 30, 2026
thesis
updated → updated
Clearer thesis. "Clears what it costs to copy" was too vague for a first-time reader.
Strategy Bots and Trader Bots
Before you launch
Know what you are following
A Strategy Bot follows a managed group of traders. A Trader Bot follows an individual trader you choose. In either case, your results depend on the trades your bot can actually execute, your settings, costs and market outcomes.
Use the Performance and Trades sections to review the strategy’s record. That record belongs to the accounts shown, not to your future bot. Past results do not guarantee future returns.
06 · Questions
Before you start
What risks should I understand?
- The traders this copies will change over time. We choose them with the published rule and will not ask you before changing them.
- The rule can return fewer traders than today, including few enough that the bot trades little.
- Copying costs money: every filled order pays slippage and fees. A trader can be profitable and still not be worth copying after costs.
- Capacity is limited. The measured returns behind this strategy were observed while almost no capital was copying these traders, and we cap how much may follow each strategy for that reason.
- A strategy can be retired. If it is, your bot is paused with an explanation and your open positions still run to resolution.
- This is the highest-volume strategy in the catalog. Under-capitalised bots follow a small share of its trades, chosen by arrival order.
How many traders is that?
Seventy-odd today. The count is on this page and moves daily.
Who decides which traders this copies?
Polycopy maintains the strategy’s selection rules and refreshes its trader list on a schedule. Your bot follows the current list and applies the strategy’s trade filters. See Traders for the current list and membership changes.
What happens when a trader leaves?
The bot stops opening new copies from that trader after the list updates. Leaving the list does not itself sell existing positions. Those positions remain subject to the bot’s exit settings and market settlement.
Can I change which traders it copies?
The trader list comes with the strategy. You choose your budget and available risk limits, and can pause or stop the bot. Use a Trader Bot when you want to choose an individual trader yourself.
Why is there a minimum budget?
The minimum gives the bot room to place trades within its current settings. Setup shows the latest minimum and limits. Your budget, available cash, market conditions and existing positions determine which trades can be placed; a larger budget does not guarantee more trades or better results.
What happens to winnings?
Compound reinvests realized profits, allowing the bot’s budget limit to grow. Keep leaves the budget fixed and keeps profits as cash. Available cash and the bot’s other limits still apply.
Do you hold my money?
Your funds stay in your own Polymarket wallet. You authorize Polycopy to place trades for your bot; you do not deposit the bot’s budget with Polycopy.
Am I locked in?
Pause temporarily prevents new copies and keeps existing positions. Pause and sell all pauses a Real Trading bot and attempts to sell its positions. Some may remain if they cannot be sold. Either way the bot stays on your account, paused, and Unpause starts it copying again. Stop paper bot ends the simulation without moving real money.
Is Paper Trading the same strategy?
Paper Trading lets you try the strategy with simulated orders. Real Trading uses your connected Polymarket wallet. Live prices, fills, costs and available cash can produce different results from the paper run.
What do I need for Real Trading?
Real Trading requires Premium, a connected Polymarket wallet, available funds and trading authorization. Connect your wallet from Portfolio, then review the bot’s current settings before you launch. You can start with Paper Trading while you get ready.
Can I change my budget?
Open your bot and choose Adjust Budget. Enter the amount, choose Keep or Compound under Winnings, then select Save budget. Reducing the budget leaves existing positions open. If the control is unavailable, check the bot’s status.
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