Traders
NFL · at least 10 resolved positions. Copy Score rated Clears at the latest refresh.
List refreshed nightly.
Bots · Niche strategy−$3.31
NFL
Traders active in NFL markets. Busy on game days.
Real trading performance
Realized P&L · All time
All time−0.5%93 trades
Last 7 days−4.7%83 trades
Last 24 hours+1.1%2 trades
Returns shown as a percentage of traded volumeExplore performance →
01 · The idea
What this strategy copies
NFL copies the traders Copy Score rates Clears who are also active in NFL markets: at least ten resolved NFL positions. Copy Score is the quality test, and it reads a trader’s whole record after the cost of copying them.
The NFL requirement decides where they trade, not that football is their strongest market. Football flow follows the calendar: game markets cluster on Thursday, Sunday and Monday, and season-long markets like MVP and division winners trade all week and settle months out. You copy every NFL trade these traders make, not a curated few. The list re-resolves nightly, so a trader who stops clearing Copy Score leaves.
The setup
Polycopy maintains the trader list and trading settings. You choose your budget, winnings option and available limits.
Budget
Start from $100. Choose Keep or Compound for your winnings.
Funds stay in your Polymarket wallet.
Controls
Price, exposure and loss checks can prevent new copies. Pause new trading when needed.
Limits do not guarantee a maximum loss.
View all settings
Current launch defaults; your chosen settings apply to your bot. Filters updated Sep 16, 2026. Settings may change; better results are not guaranteed.
Traders copied
The traders it copies
- Copy Score
- Clears
- Trading pace / specialty
- NFL · at least 10 resolved positions
- Activity
- Active traders only
- Record verification
- Reconciled against Polymarket
- Excluded traders
- Market makers, arbitrage, high / very high frequency, transfer-funded and blocked accounts
- List refresh
- Nightly
- List limit
- 500 traders
- Rule version
- rule_v1_4687129c04ea
Trade filters
Stored strategy filters
- Entry price
- 2¢ – 98¢
- Allowed categories
- All categories
- Blocked categories
- ESPORTS
- Model threshold
- Not set
- Minimum edge
- 0
- Minimum conviction
- 0
- Extra resolved-trade floor
- 0
- Maximum time to resolution
- No time limit
Budget & allocation
Launch defaults · example at $100
- Starting budget
- $100 – $5,000
- Allocation
- FIXED · $5 base order
- Source order sizing
- 5 – 5 USD
- Allocation weight
- 1
- Kelly fraction
- Not set
- Exposure cap
- $100
- Per-position cap
- $15
- Winnings
- Compound by default
Execution
Current launch defaults
- Order type
- GTD · 4-minute expiry
- Buy price tolerance
- 7%
- Sell price tolerance
- 5%
- Maximum spread
- 200 basis points
- Minimum position
- 8 shares · raise order size
- Group split trader fills
- Always on
- Follow trader sells
- On
- Source sell mirroring
- On
- Take profit
- Off
- After a position closes
- Real: 0h · Paper: 3h cooldown
- Paper duration
- 1–14 days · 14 by default
Protection & control
Defaults at $100 · no guarantee against loss
- Daily loss stop
- $20
- Circuit breaker
- 30%
- Dead-market guard
- On
- Dead-market price floor
- 4¢
- Dead-market drift limit
- 80%
- Pause / stop
- Stop new copies; review open positions separately
- Real trading requirements
- Premium · connected wallet · funds · trading authorization
- Unfilled opportunities
- May be skipped
02 · The record
How it has performed
Real trades across users running this strategy. Explore a period to see the results behind the headline.
The numbers that matter
Realized P&L
−$3.31
Unrealized P&L
+$12.62
Win rate
77%
46 won · 14 lost · sold excluded
Of volume traded
−0.5%
−0.6% of budget
$600 funding basis
$600 funding basis
Total trades
93
Last trade Sep 16, 6:57 AM UTC
Max drawdown
$78
Largest peak-to-trough fall in realized P&L
Profit factor
0.98×
Realized gains ÷ absolute realized losses, including sold fills
Volume
$625
$7 average filled trade
Historical backtest Simulated results and methodology
Backtest. Simulated on historical data, not a forecast.
Months positive
4 of 5
Typical month
+8.8%
Worst month
−3.2%
2025-10+21.4%
2025-11+8.8%
2025-12−3.3%
2026-01+33.5%
2026-02+8.5%
About 0% of this strategy's traders also appear in Flagship. It is a different way to narrow the same set of traders who clear Copy Score, not a separate bet.
Full methodology and disclosures
- Method: Walk-forward, 5 monthly point-in-time folds (Oct 2025–Feb 2026), ≥20¢ price bands, fees on, fills and slippage sampled, three simulated users, seed 42 — ml/backtester/scripts/run_strategy_walkforward.py --tag wf7 · pre-registered in docs/plans/STRATEGY_BACKTEST_DEFENSIBILITY_2026-08-23.md.
- Period 2025-10-01 to 2026-02-28 · version 1 · published Sep 9, 2026.
- 5 monthly point-in-time folds, Oct 2025–Feb 2026. The list was rebuilt as it would have stood on the 1st of each month and run through that month.
- NFL trades September to February, so the folds are the 2025–26 season. The basket at each cutoff is the traders who were NFL-strong in the PRIOR season (Sep 2024–Feb 2025) and still passed the copyability bar at that cutoff — the same shape as the live rule, which needs a prior NFL record.
- Skill persistence between NFL seasons is NOT established: of 41 NFL-strong wallets in 2024–25, 11 returned the next season and their dollar-weighted edge was not distinguishable from random baskets (p = 0.18, docs/research/NFL_STRATEGY_PERSISTENCE_2026-08-27.md). Baskets are small. Treat this as a description of last season, not a forecast of this one.
- Three simulated users per fold ($500 / $1,000 / $2,500); the figure is the median user. The engine's own interval straddles zero in 2 of 5 folds.
- Percentages are net P&L as a share of volume traded (trades × $5 ticket), not a return on capital: the $5-ticket engine leaves most of any budget idle.
- Price bands ≥20¢ only. The shipped house config trades down to 2¢ (priceMin 0.02) — this number does not yet describe the customer's exact configuration. Open decision: STRATEGY_BACKTEST_PRICE_FLOOR_2026-08-23.md.
- Fees: venue 3.845% entry / 3.538% exit as a cohort-blended constant (crypto books pay ~7%, politics ~0), builder 1% → 0.5% from 2026-08-06. Fills and slippage sampled per order from real book conditions.
- Single seed (42). Re-running under a different seed moved folds by ~20% in earlier work; treat the fold figures as ±20%.
- Baskets selected with the trader classifier as it stood on the run date, which post-dates the folds (operating-trait exclusions and the per-strategy axis are today's values; the copyability band is recomputed point-in-time). The candidate pool is every classified wallet active in the last 180 days plus every wallet in the earlier export, so older folds see the same universe as new ones.
- Probability of backtest overfitting (PBO) not computed; no held-out month. Acceptance criteria 2–3 of PRD §6.3 are unmet, not passed.
- Not yet tested against random lists of the same size (the permutation test has run for Strong List, Human Pace and Favorites only).
- This is the control list every other strategy is measured against.
- Backtested results are hypothetical and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
03 · The people
13 traders, re-checked nightly
All time
RankTraderCopy Score ↓ROIP&LOpen valueTrendVolumeCopied tradesJoined
10 of 13 traders
04 · The activity
Recent trades
Real trading · All users of this strategy · Filled buy orders
| Market | Status | Side | Outcome | Entry | Size | Realized P&L | Unrealized P&L | Copied from | Entered · UTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WiWill Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? | open | BUY | YES | 61¢ | $5.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | 0x8bf3…6077 | |
AlAl Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 4.5 | won | BUY | UNDER | 97.6¢ | $7.81 | +$0.14 | — | 0x2220…1a0f | |
PaPackers vs. Vikings: O/U 63.5 | sold | BUY | UNDER | 37.7¢ | $4.02 | +$0.35 | — | 0x453a…81d2 | |
PaPackers vs. Vikings: O/U 63.5 | sold | BUY | UNDER | 37.7¢ | $4.02 | +$0.35 | — | 0x453a…81d2 | |
PaPackers vs. Vikings: O/U 63.5 | sold | BUY | UNDER | 38¢ | $4.05 | +$0.32 | — | 0x453a…81d2 | |
SaSaints vs. Lions | lost | BUY | SAINTS | 13.4¢ | $15.23 | −$15.93 | — | 0x453a…81d2 | |
SaSaints vs. Lions | lost | BUY | SAINTS | 27¢ | $15.00 | −$15.60 | — | 0x453a…81d2 | |
SaSaints vs. Lions | lost | BUY | SAINTS | 23.1¢ | $15.13 | −$15.76 | — | 0x453a…81d2 | |
SaSaints vs. Lions | lost | BUY | SAINTS | 28.9¢ | $4.98 | −$5.18 | — | 0x453a…81d2 | |
SaSaints vs. Lions | lost | BUY | SAINTS | 29.1¢ | $14.79 | −$15.36 | — | 0x453a…81d2 |
05 · Your bot
Choose your strategy. Let your bot do the trading.
You do not need to watch every trader or place each order yourself. Once you launch, Polycopy monitors the strategy’s signals and executes eligible trades within your settings.
1
Choose how to start
Try Paper Trading with simulated orders, or use Real Trading with Premium and a connected, funded Polymarket wallet.
2
Set your limits
Review the current settings in setup. Choose your budget, how to handle winnings and the risk limits available for your bot.
3
We handle execution
Polycopy maintains the trader list, checks each signal and submits eligible orders. Your bot follows the strategy’s current entry and exit settings.
4
Follow your results
See the strategy’s performance and trades here. Manage your own bot and positions from your portfolio, and pause new copies when you need to.
Ready to trade with real money?
Connect your Polymarket wallet first, then make sure it is funded and authorized for trading. You can try Paper Trading while you get set up.
Connect your wallet →Budget, winnings and open positions
Your budget limits how much the bot can have in play. The latest minimum and trade settings appear in setup. Available cash, existing positions and market conditions affect which orders can be placed; the bot may skip trades rather than exceed its limits.
Your funds stay in your own Polymarket wallet. You authorize Polycopy to place trades; your bot’s budget is not a deposit to Polycopy.
Choose how winnings affect your bot’s budget: Compound allows profits to increase its exposure cap; Keep leaves that cap at your chosen budget. Daily spending and loss limits still apply. Review these settings before you launch and as your needs change.
Positions may stay open until market settlement or close under the bot’s exit settings. There is no fixed holding period. Pausing or stopping new copies does not automatically sell existing positions; review those separately.
Strategy updates and changes
Kept current
We maintain the strategy. You can follow its changes.
The trader list and the strategy's settings can change as the strategy evolves. Check the trader list above for membership updates and the published configuration changes below.
You can inspect the current list, recorded trades and published results. Paper, backtested and real-trading results are labelled separately, with any coverage gaps identified.
Sep 14, 2026
published
no → yes
Strategy Bots and Trader Bots
Before you launch
Know what you are following
A Strategy Bot follows a managed group of traders. A Trader Bot follows an individual trader you choose. In either case, your results depend on the trades your bot can actually execute, your settings, costs and market outcomes.
Use the Performance and Trades sections to review the strategy’s record. That record belongs to the accounts shown, not to your future bot. Past results do not guarantee future returns.
06 · Questions
Before you start
What risks should I understand?
- The traders this copies will change over time. We choose them with the published rule and will not ask you before changing them.
- The rule can return fewer traders than today, including few enough that the bot trades little.
- Copying costs money: every filled order pays slippage and fees. A trader can be profitable and still not be worth copying after costs.
- Capacity is limited. The measured returns behind this strategy were observed while almost no capital was copying these traders, and we cap how much may follow each strategy for that reason.
- A strategy can be retired. If it is, your bot is paused with an explanation and your open positions still run to resolution.
- NFL flow is concentrated on game days. Expect busy Sundays and quiet midweeks.
- A strong NFL record last season does not reliably carry into this one. The list rebuilds nightly from current form, and early-season lists are shorter and change more.
Does it only copy NFL markets?
Yes. The rule selects traders for their NFL record, and your bot copies only their NFL trades. When one of them bets on another sport or on politics, that trade is skipped.
Who decides which traders this copies?
Polycopy maintains the strategy’s selection rules and refreshes its trader list on a schedule. Your bot follows the current list and applies the strategy’s trade filters. See Traders for the current list and membership changes.
What happens when a trader leaves?
The bot stops opening new copies from that trader after the list updates. Leaving the list does not itself sell existing positions. Those positions remain subject to the bot’s exit settings and market settlement.
Can I change which traders it copies?
The trader list comes with the strategy. You choose your budget and available risk limits, and can pause or stop the bot. Use a Trader Bot when you want to choose an individual trader yourself.
Why is there a minimum budget?
The minimum gives the bot room to place trades within its current settings. Setup shows the latest minimum and limits. Your budget, available cash, market conditions and existing positions determine which trades can be placed; a larger budget does not guarantee more trades or better results.
What happens to winnings?
Compound reinvests realized profits, allowing the bot’s budget limit to grow. Keep leaves the budget fixed and keeps profits as cash. Available cash and the bot’s other limits still apply.
Do you hold my money?
Your funds stay in your own Polymarket wallet. You authorize Polycopy to place trades for your bot; you do not deposit the bot’s budget with Polycopy.
Am I locked in?
Pause temporarily prevents new copies and keeps existing positions. Stop and sell all ends a Real Trading bot and attempts to sell its positions; some may remain if they cannot be sold. Stop paper bot ends the simulation without moving real money.
Is Paper Trading the same strategy?
Paper Trading lets you try the strategy with simulated orders. Real Trading uses your connected Polymarket wallet. Live prices, fills, costs and available cash can produce different results from the paper run.
What do I need for Real Trading?
Real Trading requires Premium, a connected Polymarket wallet, available funds and trading authorization. Connect your wallet from Portfolio, then review the bot’s current settings before you launch. You can start with Paper Trading while you get ready.
Can I change my budget?
Open your bot and choose Adjust Budget. Enter the amount, choose Keep or Compound under Winnings, then select Save budget. Reducing the budget leaves existing positions open. If the control is unavailable, check the bot’s status.
Related strategies
Also worth a look
Flagship
Any trader on any market whose record still pays after copy costs.
Traders
59
Avg daily trades
18.4
per bot · 30 days
Real Money Performance
Last 7 days
+0.6%
$7,421 traded
Last 30 days
+0.6%
$12,766 traded
Soccer
Traders with a record in soccer.
Traders
34
Avg daily trades
3
per bot · 30 days
Real Money Performance
Last 7 days
+7.2%
$2,257 traded
Last 30 days
+9.3%
$3,066 traded
Politics
Traders with a record in politics.
Traders
20
Avg daily trades
2.2
per bot · 30 days
Real Money Performance
Last 7 days
+2.7%
$1,011 traded
Last 30 days
+3.9%
$1,664 traded