254321758 — Polymarket Trader Profile

254321758 is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$185.9K in all-time profit and loss across 1,143 trades, $28.43M in total trading volume, and 0.7% ROI. Track 254321758's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

254321758 Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$185.9K
Return on investment (ROI)	0.7%
Total volume	$28.43M
Total trades	1,143

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x04b1e3aff4fed7a6868757761db7486ddb6cd224

254321758

0x04b1…d224Polymarket ↗Joined Jul 20240 followers

ScoreForm→ SteadyStyleExits by selling 6moVariable sizingGeneralistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$179K

V4 chain total

Win rate

65%

2,524 resolved

Volume

$9.2M

PM-style share volume

Trades

31,732

$4K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#713

of 4,315 · 30d #611

In open positions

0 open markets

Copy ScoreWhat is Copy Score?

—

Not scored

The classifier has not graded this wallet. That is not a middling score; it is the absence of one.

About this trader, not this trade.

No category record that clears 10 finished trades

AI trader brief

One of the sharper esports traders we follow, ranked 135th of 1,959. It's a green record, $179K in profit at 53% over 2,524 markets. The tell is entry price: Lt20 carry the record while P50 80 give money back. The book's busiest across European hours. Worth a caveat: much of this volume is maker flow, so a copier's entries won't match theirs. Right now they're running hotter than their usual week.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Copy 254321758's moves, automatically

Auto Copy is a Premium bot. Copy Score stays free, and it will warn you if following this wallet has historically been a toll.

Performance

P&L over time

Cumulative P&L

+$152K

Volume

$67K

Point

Aug 19

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$132K

ROI

+1.8%

Win rate

68%

Volume

$7.4M

Trades

21,029

Profit factor

2.1

Day outcomes

Positive: 145 (56%)
Negative: 80
Flat: 33
Avg daily: +$696
Max drawdown: −$32K

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

39%

$1K – $10K

54%

$10K+

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~16,230 (51%)
Sell orders (est.): ~15,502
Buy notional: $9.2M
Sell notional: $8.8M

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Esports+$160K 81%1,210#135

Soccer+$31K 16%124#559

Politics+$4K 2%114#452

Business+$470 0%41#315

Culture+$432 0%23#268

Tech+$218 0%18#316

Elon Musk+$77 0%10#200

Entertainment+$56 0%3#100

Middle East−$154 0%28#1309

Nba−$423 0%2#1805

Unclassified−$589 0%2#701

Russia Ukraine−$643 0%26#964

7 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Moneyline	21%	60%	+18.6%	+$2K
Yes No	79%	49%	-7.8%	−$8K

Hold time & exitsiHold time & exitsHow long they keep a position (matched buy and sell fills, FIFO) and how they get out: selling early versus holding to resolution. Long holds are easier to copy.

No sell fills

hold percentiles unavailable

Exit behavior

Sold before resolution 58%Held to resolution 42%

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

+$17K

20–50¢

+$13K

50–80¢

−$28K

80¢+ · favorites

−$8K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

Balance & fundingiBalanceCash sitting in the wallet, the value of open positions priced right now, and how much has been put in net of withdrawals. Cash is an on-chain poll refreshed every 10 minutes; position value is priced live from Polymarket.

In open positions

0 positions

Net deposited: —
True ROI (P&L ÷ deposited): —

The edge

Style & behavior

Behavioral signals

Median hold: —
Win/loss asymmetry: 1.2×
Sell before close: 58%
Hedged markets: —
In-game buys (sports): —
Maker / taker: —
Avg entry price: —
Profitable weeks: —

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $0 · 0 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About 254321758 on Polymarket

254321758 is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$185.9K total P&L, 0.7% ROI, and N/A win rate across 1,143 trades ($28.43M volume). Specialty: Esports (#135), Soccer (#559). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.