smellyEllie, Polymarket trader profile

smellyEllie is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$106.0K in all-time profit and loss across 21,240 trades, $1.37M in total trading volume, and 7.7% ROI at a 53.7% win rate. Track smellyEllie's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

smellyEllie Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$106.0K
Return on investment (ROI)	7.7%
Total volume	$1.37M
Win rate	53.7%
Total trades	21,240

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824

smellyEllie (7.7% ROI) - Polymarket Trader | Polycopy

smellyEllie

0x38f5…6824Polymarket ↗Joined Jul 20240 followers

Copy ScoreForm↘ CoolingStyleExits by selling 6moGeneralistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$107K

V4 chain total

Win rate

53%

4,183 resolved

Volume

$815K

PM-style share volume

Trades

21,240

$195 avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#1282

of 6,441 · 30d #767

In open positions

$85K

179 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

A generalist who spreads bets across several markets instead of leaning on one. It's a green record, $114K in profit at 54% over 4,183 markets. Their best work's in yes no, worth $34K at 40%. They're in and out within the day. That's long enough to follow into a position and short enough that you'll want to watch the exit. A chunk of the return comes from maker rebates, which copiers don't earn, so the copied result would look different. A 9-day green streak just came to an end this week.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

+$34K

Volume

$22K

Point

Oct 28

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$34K

ROI

+6.9%

Win rate

54%

Volume

$491K

Trades

9,970

Profit factor

1.7

Day outcomes

Positive: 292 (68%)
Negative: 119
Flat: 19
Avg daily: +$240
Max drawdown: −$32K

Order sizing

Under $100

33%

$100 – $1K

63%

$1K – $10K

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~12,608 (59%)
Sell orders (est.): ~8,632
Buy notional: $815K
Sell notional: $558K

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Politics+$34K 29%606#425

Russia Ukraine+$22K 19%320#83

Middle East+$18K 15%464#311

Business+$11K 9%150#166

Us Election+$9K 7%38#97

Nfl+$4K 4%15#829

Bitcoin+$3K 3%31#923

Esports+$3K 3%42#1253

Crypto+$2K 2%131#397

Tennis+$2K 2%20#1058

Science+$2K 1%57#104

Elon Musk+$1K 1%23#106

17 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Yes No	86%	40%	+39.3%	+$34K
Unknown	6%	77%	+258.9%	+$2K
Over Under	3%	21%	+470.7%	+$1K
Up Down	0%	0.0%	-100.0%	−$1
Both Teams Score	0%	0.0%	-100.0%	−$7
Spread	0%	0.0%	-100.0%	−$48
Moneyline	4%	18%	-29.7%	−$2K

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

+$15K

20–50¢

+$12K

50–80¢

+$5K

80¢+ · favorites

+$4K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

Not measured

Hold time has not been measured for this wallet.

Hold time is measured on sell fills and has not been computed for this wallet yet.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $85K · 179 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

Traders worth copying

See the full board

More Politics traders

Frequently Asked Questions

smellyEllie is a Polymarket prediction market trader tracked on Polycopy. Their wallet address is 0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824. They have a total P&L of +$106.0K and $1.37M in trading volume. They are classified as: Active trading frequency. Niche rankings: Top Entertainment #77, Top Russia Ukraine #83, Top US Election #97. You can view their available trading history, open positions, and performance analytics on this profile page.

smellyEllie has an all-time P&L of +$106.0K with 7.7% ROI on $1.37M in volume. Their win rate is 53.7%. They have completed 21,240 resolved trades. P&L shows what they made. It does not show whether copying them would have paid, which is what the Copy Score on this page answers. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Click Copy this trader on this page to set up a Trader Bot, which copies smellyEllie into your own Polymarket wallet under the budget and limits you set. Trader Bots start at $100. Paper Trading is free for signed-in users and places no real orders. Real Trading needs Premium at $30/month, and eligible new users can try it free for 7 days.

Great traders aren't always great to copy. Copy Score tells you which ones are. It is a free rating on every trader, not on individual trades. It asks whether copying smellyEllie would have paid after the costs of copying them: a worse fill than they got, venue fees, and Polycopy's fee. It is not a win chance and it does not predict any single trade. How Copy Score works.

Your funds stay in your own Polymarket wallet. You authorize Polycopy to place trades; your bot’s budget is not a deposit to Polycopy. All trading involves risk, and you can lose money copying a trader who was profitable before. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Paper Trading lets you watch how a bot behaves before you use real money. Browse more traders on Discover.

Learn more in our Prediction Market Glossary or FAQ

In:Flagship,Soccer,Politics,Football,UnderdogsSee the strategies

About smellyEllie on Polymarket

smellyEllie is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$106.0K total P&L, 7.7% ROI, and 53.7% win rate across 21,240 trades ($1.37M volume). Specialty: Entertainment (#77), Russia Ukraine (#83), US Election (#97). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.