PeterSagan — Polymarket Trader Profile

PeterSagan is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with -$240.4K in all-time profit and loss across 159 trades, $25.94M in total trading volume, and -0.9% ROI. Track PeterSagan's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

PeterSagan Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	-$240.4K
Return on investment (ROI)	-0.9%
Total volume	$25.94M
Total trades	159

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x198fa74120438fb7cabccb61aa824c6720dfc419

PeterSagan

0x198f…c419Polymarket ↗Joined Jan 20260 followers

ScoreForm→ SteadyStyleHolds to resolution 6moVariable sizingGeneralistEstablished

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

−$235K

V4 chain total

Win rate

51%

3,344 resolved

Volume

$9.6M

PM-style share volume

Trades

64,231

$3K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#4101

of 4,315 · 30d #4216

In open positions

−$17

4 open markets

Copy ScoreWhat is Copy Score?

—

Not scored

The classifier has not graded this wallet. That is not a middling score; it is the absence of one.

About this trader, not this trade.

No category record that clears 10 finished trades

AI trader brief

A busy trader whose results haven't caught up with the activity. So far it's a losing book, -$240K across 3,344 settled markets at 51%. The tell is entry price: P20 50 carry the record while P50 80 give money back. Trades usually clear inside a day, a median hold of 3 hours, so a copier has time to mirror an entry but not much room to sit on it. Worth a caveat: much of this volume is maker flow, so a copier's entries won't match theirs. Over the past month the trend's turned negative, down $46K on 21% lighter volume.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Performance

P&L over time

Cumulative P&L

−$164K

Volume

$313

Point

Aug 19

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

−$215K

ROI

-7.9%

Win rate

51%

Volume

$2.7M

Trades

17,766

Profit factor

0.7

Day outcomes

Positive: 85 (44%)
Negative: 101
Flat: 7
Avg daily: −$1K
Max drawdown: −$413K

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

22%

$1K – $10K

31%

$10K+

47%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~52,350 (82%)
Sell orders (est.): ~11,881
Buy notional: $9.6M
Sell notional: $2.2M

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Soccer+$424K 68%3,607#100

Tennis+$100K 16%961#71

Cricket+$52K 8%434#7

Golf+$28K 5%10#11

Formula 1+$9K 1%49#28

Nfl+$5K 1%53#305

Nba+$3K 0%428#524

Mlb+$802 0%251#377

Solana+$80 0%5#330

Mma+$20 0%8#572

Sports+$1 0%121#321

Weather+$0 0%2#395

3 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Over Under	10%	44%	-9.5%	+$20K
Unknown	10%	25%	+25.0%	+$20K
Both Teams Score	0%	40%	-13.9%	−$23
Moneyline	2%	45%	-4.6%	−$4K
Yes No	38%	51%	+0.6%	−$74K
Spread	40%	48%	-7.0%	−$77K

Hold time & exitsiHold time & exitsHow long they keep a position (matched buy and sell fills, FIFO) and how they get out: selling early versus holding to resolution. Long holds are easier to copy.

No sell fills

hold percentiles unavailable

Exit behavior

Sold before resolution 1.7%Held to resolution 98%

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

+$42K

20–50¢

+$84K

50–80¢

−$234K

80¢+ · favorites

−$8K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

Balance & fundingiBalanceCash sitting in the wallet, the value of open positions priced right now, and how much has been put in net of withdrawals. Cash is an on-chain poll refreshed every 10 minutes; position value is priced live from Polymarket.

In open positions

−$17

4 positions

Net deposited: —
True ROI (P&L ÷ deposited): —

The edge

Style & behavior

Behavioral signals

Median hold: —
Win/loss asymmetry: 1.0×
Sell before close: 1.7%
Hedged markets: —
In-game buys (sports): —
Maker / taker: —
Avg entry price: —
Profitable weeks: —

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · −$17 · 4 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About PeterSagan on Polymarket

PeterSagan is a Polymarket prediction market trader with -$240.4K total P&L, -0.9% ROI, and N/A win rate across 159 trades ($25.94M volume). Specialty: Cricket (#7), Golf (#11), Formula 1 (#28). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.