hot-garbage — Polymarket Trader Profile

hot-garbage is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$219.8K in all-time profit and loss across 15,821 trades, $49.10M in total trading volume, and 0.4% ROI. Track hot-garbage's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

hot-garbage Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$219.8K
Return on investment (ROI)	0.4%
Total volume	$49.10M
Total trades	15,821

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x31393e2f8333d4a6e2e31ca6424defe8b6cb9e2e

hot-garbage

0x3139…9e2ePolymarket ↗Joined Mar 20260 followers

ScoreForm→ SteadyStyleHolds to resolution 6moVariable sizingFocusedEstablished

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$227K

V4 chain total

Win rate

50%

75,151 resolved

Volume

$21.1M

PM-style share volume

Trades

2,606,032

$281 avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#594

of 4,315 · 30d #283

In open positions

$286

4 open markets

Copy ScoreWhat is Copy Score?

—

Not scored

The classifier has not graded this wallet. That is not a middling score; it is the absence of one.

About this trader, not this trade.

No category record that clears 10 finished trades

Market maker. They earn mainly from the buy/sell spread, so copying means paying that spread instead of collecting it.

AI trader brief

One of the sharper bitcoin traders we follow, ranked 79th of 2,565. It's a green record, $227K in profit at 50% over 75,151 markets. Their best work's in up down, worth $147K at 48%. They move fast, in and out inside the hour, which is hard to mirror in time. A chunk of the return comes from maker rebates, which copiers don't earn, so the copied result would look different. Zoom out to the month and they're still climbing, up $51K on 7% heavier volume.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Copy hot-garbage's moves, automatically

Auto Copy is a Premium bot. Copy Score stays free, and it will warn you if following this wallet has historically been a toll.

Performance

P&L over time

Cumulative P&L

+$143K

Volume

$228K

Point

Aug 19

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$137K

ROI

+1.1%

Win rate

50%

Volume

$12.6M

Trades

1,656,270

Profit factor

2.5

Day outcomes

Positive: 68 (64%)
Negative: 39
Flat: —
Avg daily: +$2K
Max drawdown: −$14K

Order sizing

Under $100

88%

$100 – $1K

12%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~2,474,397 (95%)
Sell orders (est.): ~131,635
Buy notional: $21.1M
Sell notional: $1.1M

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Bitcoin+$83K 100%740,286#79

Crypto+$0 0%6,594#733

Solana+$0 0%6,807#569

Unclassified+$0 0%1#124

Ethereum−$170 0%295,949#1333

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Up Down	100%	48%	+2.6%	+$147K

Hold time & exitsiHold time & exitsHow long they keep a position (matched buy and sell fills, FIFO) and how they get out: selling early versus holding to resolution. Long holds are easier to copy.

No sell fills

hold percentiles unavailable

Exit behavior

Sold before resolution 18%Held to resolution 82%

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

+$39K

20–50¢

+$52K

50–80¢

+$20K

80¢+ · favorites

+$36K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

Balance & fundingiBalanceCash sitting in the wallet, the value of open positions priced right now, and how much has been put in net of withdrawals. Cash is an on-chain poll refreshed every 10 minutes; position value is priced live from Polymarket.

In open positions

$286

4 positions

Net deposited: —
True ROI (P&L ÷ deposited): —

The edge

Style & behavior

Behavioral signals

Median hold: —
Win/loss asymmetry: 1.7×
Sell before close: 18%
Hedged markets: —
In-game buys (sports): —
Maker / taker: —
Avg entry price: —
Profitable weeks: —

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $286 · 4 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About hot-garbage on Polymarket

hot-garbage is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$219.8K total P&L, 0.4% ROI, and N/A win rate across 15,821 trades ($49.10M volume). Specialty: BTC (#79), Unclassified (#124). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.