Warren-Buffett, Polymarket trader profile

Warren-Buffett is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$128.2K in all-time profit and loss across 73 trades, $29.59M in total trading volume, and 0.4% ROI. Track Warren-Buffett's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

Warren-Buffett Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$128.2K
Return on investment (ROI)	0.4%
Total volume	$29.59M
Total trades	73

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a4

Warren-Buffett

0x4478…02a4Polymarket ↗Joined Oct 20250 followers

Copy ScoreForm↘ CoolingStyleExits by selling 6moVariable sizingGeneralistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$132K

V4 chain total

Win rate

63%

1,823 resolved

Volume

$4.1M

PM-style share volume

Trades

30,587

$2K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#1038

of 5,250 · 30d #4908

In open positions

$87K

49 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

One of the sharper middle_east traders we follow, ranked 136th of 1,969. It's a green record, $136K in profit at 63% over 1,823 markets. Their best work's in yes no, worth $95K at 56%. They trade mainly during US market hours. Worth a caveat: much of this volume is maker flow, so a copier's entries won't match theirs. Over the past month the trend's turned negative, down $50K on 58% lighter volume.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

−$42K

Volume

$629

Point

Oct 2

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

−$42K

ROI

-4.5%

Win rate

63%

Volume

$927K

Trades

6,271

Profit factor

0.6

Day outcomes

Positive: 174 (58%)
Negative: 114
Flat: 12
Avg daily: +$439
Max drawdown: −$99K

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

28%

$1K – $10K

64%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~18,365 (60%)
Sell orders (est.): ~12,222
Buy notional: $4.1M
Sell notional: $2.7M

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Middle East+$70K 60%3,141#136

Politics+$21K 18%626#400

Business+$6K 5%129#196

Macro+$5K 5%12#111

Soccer+$5K 4%47#2001

China Taiwan+$2K 2%13#156

Russia Ukraine+$2K 1%44#282

Bitcoin+$581 1%6#1096

Entertainment+$339 0%15#56

Science+$126 0%3#255

Esports−$984 1%28#2115

Nba−$2K 2%4#2099

12 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Yes No	99%	56%	+7.6%	+$95K
Unknown	0%	75%	-15.6%	+$114
Up Down	0%	75%	-24.3%	−$0
Over Under	0%	67%	-9.9%	−$55
Moneyline	1%	30%	-54.1%	−$1K

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

+$88K

20–50¢

−$52K

50–80¢

+$35K

80¢+ · favorites

+$23K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

Not measured

Hold time has not been measured for this wallet.

Hold time is measured on sell fills and has not been computed for this wallet yet.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $87K · 49 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About Warren-Buffett on Polymarket

Warren-Buffett is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$128.2K total P&L, 0.4% ROI, and N/A win rate across 73 trades ($29.59M volume). Specialty: Entertainment (#56), Macro (#111), Middle East (#136). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.