lightningbolts, Polymarket trader profile

lightningbolts is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$87.5K in all-time profit and loss across 2,540 trades, $666.9K in total trading volume, and 13.1% ROI at a 54.7% win rate. Track lightningbolts's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

lightningbolts Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$87.5K
Return on investment (ROI)	13.1%
Total volume	$666.9K
Win rate	54.7%
Total trades	2,540

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x515d285a7d5065d0406db39f8626313502c80340

lightningbolts

0x515d…0340Polymarket ↗Joined Jun 20262 followers

Copy ScoreStyleHolds to resolution 6moVariable sizing

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$80K

V4 chain total

Win rate

55%

1,425 resolved

Volume

$667K

PM-style share volume

Trades

2,540

$468 avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#1531

of 5,904 · 30d #1359

In open positions

0 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

An esports specialist who keeps most of their money in one market. It's a green record, $79K in profit at 55% over 1,425 markets. They trade mainly during US market hours. The holds are short enough that a copier would struggle to get in and out at the same prices. They just logged their worst single day on record, down $8K, within the past seven days.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

+$79K

Volume

$3K

Point

Oct 16

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$80K

ROI

+12.4%

Win rate

55%

Volume

$649K

Trades

2,469

Profit factor

2.6

Day outcomes

Positive: 52 (60%)
Negative: 35
Flat: —
Avg daily: +$921
Max drawdown: −$12K

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~2,540 (100%)
Sell orders (est.): ~0
Buy notional: $667K
Sell notional: $0

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Esports+$160K 99%1,048#339

Soccer+$2K 1%22#2461

Mlb+$13 0%6#1391

Unclassified+$0 0%1#544

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Sports	100%	—	—	+$162K

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

No price-bracket rows for this wallet.

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

No sells

No sells — nothing to place on the scale.

They never sell. Positions close early by merging a YES + NO pair back to cash — an arbitrage exit a copier holding one side cannot make — or ride to resolution. Hold time is measured on sells, so there is none to show.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $0 · 0 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

Traders worth copying

See the full board

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Frequently Asked Questions

lightningbolts is a Polymarket prediction market trader tracked on Polycopy. Their wallet address is 0x515d285a7d5065d0406db39f8626313502c80340. They have a total P&L of +$87.5K and $666.9K in trading volume. They are classified as: Light Active trading frequency. Niche rankings: Top Esports #339. You can view their available trading history, open positions, and performance analytics on this profile page.

lightningbolts has an all-time P&L of +$87.5K with 13.1% ROI on $666.9K in volume. Their win rate is 54.7%. They have completed 2,540 resolved trades. P&L shows what they made. It does not show whether copying them would have paid, which is what the Copy Score on this page answers. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Click Copy this trader on this page to set up a Trader Bot, which copies lightningbolts into your own Polymarket wallet under the budget and limits you set. Trader Bots start at $100. Paper Trading is free for signed-in users and places no real orders. Real Trading needs Premium at $30/month, and eligible new users can try it free for 7 days.

Great traders aren't always great to copy. Copy Score tells you which ones are. It is a free rating on every trader, not on individual trades. It asks whether copying lightningbolts would have paid after the costs of copying them: a worse fill than they got, venue fees, and Polycopy's fee. It is not a win chance and it does not predict any single trade. How Copy Score works.

Your funds stay in your own Polymarket wallet. You authorize Polycopy to place trades; your bot’s budget is not a deposit to Polycopy. All trading involves risk, and you can lose money copying a trader who was profitable before. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Paper Trading lets you watch how a bot behaves before you use real money. Browse more traders on Discover.

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About lightningbolts on Polymarket

lightningbolts is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$87.5K total P&L, 13.1% ROI, and 54.7% win rate across 2,540 trades ($666.9K volume). Specialty: Esports (#339). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.