coldsway, Polymarket trader profile

coldsway is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with -$11.08M in all-time profit and loss across 3,964 trades, $50.68M in total trading volume, and -21.9% ROI. Track coldsway's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

coldsway Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	-$11.08M
Return on investment (ROI)	-21.9%
Total volume	$50.68M
Total trades	3,964

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x640de3430e9a05e1b1fe04b42d651da1abe99a4c

coldsway

0x640d…9a4cPolymarket ↗Joined Jun 20260 followers

Copy ScoreStyle🐋 WhaleVariable sizingSpecialistEstablished

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

−$10.8M

V4 chain total

Win rate

29%

17 resolved

Volume

$22.4M

PM-style share volume

Trades

7,953

$1.3M avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#5250

of 5,250 · 30d #1657

In open positions

0 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

A busy trader whose results haven't caught up with the activity. So far it's a losing book, -$10.8M across 17 settled markets at 29%. It's too early to say where the edge is. They trade mainly during US market hours. The holds are short enough that a copier would struggle to get in and out at the same prices.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

−$15.0M

Volume

Point

Oct 2

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

−$15.0M

ROI

-984.4%

Win rate

7.7%

Volume

$1.5M

Trades

Profit factor

0.1

Day outcomes

Positive: 4 (33%)
Negative: 2
Flat: 6
Avg daily: −$901K
Max drawdown: −$15.9M

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

$1K – $10K

$10K+

100%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~7,953 (100%)
Sell orders (est.): ~0
Buy notional: $22.4M
Sell notional: $0

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Soccer−$10.8M 100%34#3992

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Spread	3%	25%	-57.6%	+$167K
Moneyline	13%	25%	-42.7%	−$625K
Yes No	84%	9.1%	-84.0%	−$4.1M

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

−$99K

20–50¢

−$4.0M

50–80¢

−$448K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

No sells

No sells — nothing to place on the scale.

They never sell. Positions close early by merging a YES + NO pair back to cash — an arbitrage exit a copier holding one side cannot make — or ride to resolution. Hold time is measured on sells, so there is none to show.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $0 · 0 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About coldsway on Polymarket

coldsway is a Polymarket prediction market trader with -$11.08M total P&L, -21.9% ROI, and N/A win rate across 3,964 trades ($50.68M volume). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.