OraculumNobius, Polymarket trader profile

OraculumNobius is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$13.1K in all-time profit and loss across 1,142 trades, $29.90M in total trading volume, and 0.0% ROI. Track OraculumNobius's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

OraculumNobius Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$13.1K
Return on investment (ROI)	0.0%
Total volume	$29.90M
Total trades	1,142

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0xd25b8718f61fb64a754356ad8cf16b5579f59f3d

OraculumNobius

0xd25b…9f3dPolymarket ↗@OraculumNobiusJoined Dec 20240 followers

Copy ScoreForm→ SteadyStyleHolds to resolution 6moVariable sizingGeneralistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$9K

V4 chain total

Win rate

97%

22,353 resolved

Volume

$27.8M

PM-style share volume

Trades

88,541

$1K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#2994

of 5,544 · 30d #1157

In open positions

$168K

15 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

This looks less like a bettor and more like a market maker, quoting both sides for the spread. It's a green record, $13K in profit at 97% over 22,353 markets. The edge is spread out, with the top two niches making up 63% of the profit. They trade mainly during US market hours. Worth a caveat: much of this volume is maker flow, so a copier's entries won't match theirs. Zoom out to the month and they're still climbing, up $3K on 14% heavier volume.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

+$10K

Volume

$98

Point

Oct 7

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$10K

ROI

+0.2%

Win rate

100%

Volume

$4.2M

Trades

12,499

Profit factor

10.3

Day outcomes

Positive: 410 (79%)
Negative: 51
Flat: 60
Avg daily: +$18
Max drawdown: −$19K

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

34%

$1K – $10K

43%

$10K+

22%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~83,524 (94%)
Sell orders (est.): ~5,017
Buy notional: $27.8M
Sell notional: $1.7M

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Russia Ukraine+$13K 29%613#111

Weather+$4K 9%8,490#178

Middle East+$4K 8%478#489

Bitcoin+$2K 5%1,637#905

Tech+$991 2%663#317

Politics+$775 2%1,154#956

Crypto+$689 2%351#526

Business+$558 1%392#469

Culture+$460 1%557#379

China Taiwan+$403 1%42#330

Esports+$106 0%106#1451

Macro−$18K 40%1,285#1339

18 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Yes No	89%	99%	-0.1%	+$16K
Up Down	10%	78%	-2.4%	+$2K
Moneyline	1%	100%	+0.3%	+$118
Unknown	0%	100%	+0.8%	+$41
Over Under	0%	100%	+0.1%	+$18
Spread	0%	100%	+0.1%	+$5
Standard	0%	100%	+0.1%	+$0

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

−$3K

20–50¢

−$12K

50–80¢

+$4K

80¢+ · favorites

+$29K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

Not measured

Hold time has not been measured for this wallet.

Hold time is measured on sell fills and has not been computed for this wallet yet.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $168K · 15 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About OraculumNobius on Polymarket

OraculumNobius is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$13.1K total P&L, 0.0% ROI, and N/A win rate across 1,142 trades ($29.90M volume). Specialty: Russia Ukraine (#111), Weather (#178). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.