nelbal8486, Polymarket trader profile

nelbal8486 is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$30.4K in all-time profit and loss across 1,582 trades, $942.1K in total trading volume, and 3.2% ROI at a 67.2% win rate. Track nelbal8486's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

nelbal8486 Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$30.4K
Return on investment (ROI)	3.2%
Total volume	$942.1K
Win rate	67.2%
Total trades	1,582

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0x8c4465127b5278a5d7fd120b95b77e7fe292fcd4

nelbal8486 (3.2% ROI) - Polymarket Trader | Polycopy

nelbal8486

0x8c44…fcd4Polymarket ↗Joined Oct 20243 followers

Copy ScoreForm↗ RisingStyle🐋 WhaleExits by selling 6moVariable sizingGeneralistVeteran

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$27K

V4 chain total

Win rate

67%

129 resolved

Volume

$678K

PM-style share volume

Trades

1,587

$5K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#2549

of 5,904 · 30d #1618

In open positions

$101K

23 open markets

Copy Score

AI trader brief

This looks less like a bettor and more like a market maker, quoting both sides for the spread. It's a green record, $27K in profit at 67% over 129 markets. Most of it comes from one place: 70% of the profit is soccer, where they win 57%. They hold for the long haul, often riding positions to resolution rather than trading in and out. Worth a caveat: much of this volume is maker flow, so a copier's entries won't match theirs. Zoom out to the month and they're still climbing, up $504.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Over time

Trader performance

Cumulative P&L

+$39K

Volume

$2K

Point

Oct 15

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$39K

ROI

+50.5%

Win rate

72%

Volume

$78K

Trades

169

Profit factor

27.5

Day outcomes

Positive: 51 (32%)
Negative: 20
Flat: 90
Avg daily: +$170
Max drawdown: −$26K

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

15%

$1K – $10K

13%

$10K+

72%

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~1,138 (72%)
Sell orders (est.): ~449
Buy notional: $678K
Sell notional: $268K

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Soccer+$43K 51%14#1255

Middle East+$7K 8%23#421

Business+$6K 7%13#217

Mma+$4K 5%6#439

Science+$748 1%2#148

Golf+$441 1%4#142

Tennis+$358 0%1#1209

Bitcoin+$328 0%3#1311

Formula 1+$253 0%10#244

Cricket−$289 0%2#601

Russia Ukraine−$4K 5%10#1374

Politics−$18K 21%41#2805

3 smaller niches not shown

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Moneyline	3%	83%	+2.4%	+$653
Over Under	2%	100%	+101.0%	+$352
Yes No	95%	64%	-3.9%	−$21K

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

−$3K

20–50¢

+$4K

50–80¢

−$30K

80¢+ · favorites

+$9K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

The edge

Style & behavior

Hold timeiHold timeMedian time a position stays open before it is SOLD. Positions that end by merging or by resolution are not in this number — a wallet that never sells has no hold time to measure.

Not measured

Hold time has not been measured for this wallet.

Hold time is measured on sell fills and has not been computed for this wallet yet.

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $101K · 23 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

Traders worth copying

See the full board

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Frequently Asked Questions

nelbal8486 is a Polymarket prediction market trader tracked on Polycopy. Their wallet address is 0x8c4465127b5278a5d7fd120b95b77e7fe292fcd4. They have a total P&L of +$30.4K and $942.1K in trading volume. They are classified as: Selective trading frequency. Niche rankings: Top Science #148, Top Business #217. You can view their available trading history, open positions, and performance analytics on this profile page.

nelbal8486 has an all-time P&L of +$30.4K with 3.2% ROI on $942.1K in volume. Their win rate is 67.2%. They have completed 1,582 resolved trades. P&L shows what they made. It does not show whether copying them would have paid, which is what the Copy Score on this page answers. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Click Copy this trader on this page to set up a Trader Bot, which copies nelbal8486 into your own Polymarket wallet under the budget and limits you set. Trader Bots start at $100. Paper Trading is free for signed-in users and places no real orders. Real Trading needs Premium at $30/month, and eligible new users can try it free for 7 days.

Great traders aren't always great to copy. Copy Score tells you which ones are. It is a free rating on every trader, not on individual trades. It asks whether copying nelbal8486 would have paid after the costs of copying them: a worse fill than they got, venue fees, and Polycopy's fee. It is not a win chance and it does not predict any single trade. How Copy Score works.

Your funds stay in your own Polymarket wallet. You authorize Polycopy to place trades; your bot’s budget is not a deposit to Polycopy. All trading involves risk, and you can lose money copying a trader who was profitable before. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Paper Trading lets you watch how a bot behaves before you use real money. Browse more traders on Discover.

Learn more in our Prediction Market Glossary or FAQ

In:Flagship,Human Pace,Soccer,Politics,UnderdogsSee the strategies

About nelbal8486 on Polymarket

nelbal8486 is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$30.4K total P&L, 3.2% ROI, and 67.2% win rate across 1,582 trades ($942.1K volume). Specialty: Science (#148), Business (#217). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.