Herdonia — Polymarket Trader Profile

Herdonia is a Polymarket prediction-market trader with +$668.3K in all-time profit and loss across 1,465 trades, $104.08M in total trading volume, and 0.6% ROI. Track Herdonia's live positions, trade history, and performance — and copy their trades — on Polycopy.

Herdonia Polymarket trading statistics
Profit & loss (P&L)	+$668.3K
Return on investment (ROI)	0.6%
Total volume	$104.08M
Total trades	1,465

View full stats, trade history, and performance on Polycopy — or see more top traders on the Polymarket leaderboard.

Public wallet: 0xd106952ebf30a3125affd8a23b6c1f30c35fc79c

Herdonia

0xd106…c79cPolymarket ↗Joined Jan 20267 followers

ScoreForm→ SteadyStyleHolds to resolution 6moVariable sizingGeneralistEstablished

Trader history

The numbers that matter

P&L

+$666K

V4 chain total

Win rate

50%

12,947 resolved

Volume

$55.7M

PM-style share volume

Trades

302,996

$4K avg trade size

Live activity

Right now

P&L rank

#250

of 4,315 · 30d #1258

In open positions

$309

12 open markets

Copy ScoreWhat is Copy Score?

—

Not scored

The classifier has not graded this wallet. That is not a middling score; it is the absence of one.

About this trader, not this trade.

No category record that clears 10 finished trades

AI trader brief

An NBA specialist who keeps most of their money in one market. It's a green record, $667K in profit at 42% over 12,947 markets. Most of it comes from one place: 81% of the profit is NBA, where they win 51%. The holds are short enough that a copier would struggle to get in and out at the same prices. This past week looks about average for them, with no real shift either way.

Generated nightly from verified chain data. Never speculative.

Copy Herdonia's moves, automatically

Auto Copy is a Premium bot. Copy Score stays free, and it will warn you if following this wallet has historically been a toll.

Performance

P&L over time

Cumulative P&L

+$68K

Volume

$7K

Point

Aug 19

Cumulative P&LVolumehover for values

P&L

+$89K

ROI

+3.0%

Win rate

51%

Volume

$3.0M

Trades

19,584

Profit factor

1.4

Day outcomes

Positive: 98 (53%)
Negative: 83
Flat: 5
Avg daily: +$4K
Max drawdown: −$412K

Order sizing

Under $100

$100 – $1K

38%

$1K – $10K

55%

$10K+

share of resolved positions per band

Trade flow (life)

Buy orders (est.): ~302,996 (100%)
Sell orders (est.): ~0
Buy notional: $55.7M
Sell notional: $0

The edge

Where they win

By nicheiNiche performanceEvery market bucketed into its niche (politics, sports, crypto and so on) with P&L, volume and cohort rank per niche. Toggle to win rate to separate edge from volume.

All-timeP&L · shareBetsRank

Nba+$1.2M 80%20,703#38

Mlb+$181K 12%3,962#45

Nhl+$116K 7%2,866#63

Sports+$0 0%3#343

Unclassified+$0 0%1#124

Nfl−$14K 1%122#1679

By trade typeiTrade typeThe kinds of bets this trader takes (moneyline winners, over/unders, props, yes/no questions) and how each performs.

	Share	WR	ROI	P&L
Over Under	3%	48%	-0.5%	−$5K
Spread	22%	49%	-1.2%	−$35K
Moneyline	75%	53%	-0.9%	−$118K

Hold time & exitsiHold time & exitsHow long they keep a position (matched buy and sell fills, FIFO) and how they get out: selling early versus holding to resolution. Long holds are easier to copy.

No sell fills

hold percentiles unavailable

Exit behavior

Sold before resolution 76%Held to resolution 24%

Price-bracket profileiPrice bracketsWhere on the odds curve this trader deploys money (longshot hunter vs favorite grinder) and what each bracket returned.

Under 20¢ · longshots

+$8K

20–50¢

−$122K

50–80¢

−$7K

80¢+ · favorites

−$37K

Trading clock · hour × day (UTC)iMarket timingEvery fill bucketed by hour and weekday. Darker = more notional. Toggle buy vs sell concentration. Hover a cell for exact numbers; click to pin.

Hover any cell for the exact numbers. Click to pin.

Balance & fundingiBalanceCash sitting in the wallet, the value of open positions priced right now, and how much has been put in net of withdrawals. Cash is an on-chain poll refreshed every 10 minutes; position value is priced live from Polymarket.

In open positions

$309

12 positions

Net deposited: —
True ROI (P&L ÷ deposited): —

The edge

Style & behavior

Behavioral signals

Median hold: —
Win/loss asymmetry: 1.0×
Sell before close: 76%
Hedged markets: —
In-game buys (sports): —
Maker / taker: —
Avg entry price: —
Profitable weeks: —

Activity

Latest trades

Trader-level Copy Score. Individual fills are not graded.

Market	Bet	Entry	Current	Amount

No trades in this slice of the loaded tape.

Open positions · $309 · 12 markets

Market	Side	Entry→Now	Value	P&L
No open positions.

Biggest wins

Market	Realized
No resolved wins yet.

About Herdonia on Polymarket

Herdonia is a Polymarket prediction market trader with +$668.3K total P&L, 0.6% ROI, and N/A win rate across 1,465 trades ($104.08M volume). Specialty: NBA (#38), MLB (#45), NHL (#63). View full stats, trade history, and copy their strategies on Polycopy.